Scouting Report
Alexander Wennberg holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 47.7% vs Cates 45.1% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 85.5%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 58.8%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 65.6%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Wennberg
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Wennberg
Cates
Last 7: Wennberg 6-1 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
3
0
Wennberg
Cates
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
3
1
Wennberg
Cates
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (777)
46.7% (912)
+1.2%
Power Play
51.0% (202)
33.9% (56)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (90)
35.0% (137)
+1.7%
On power play, Wennberg has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Wennberg is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (786).
Wennberg shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Cates
Home
47.2% (489)
46.1% (521)
Away
47.8% (580)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Wennberg
Cates
P1
47.1%
48.0%
P2
48.1%
42.3%
P3
47.5%
44.3%
OT
45.5%
31.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
47.5%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 14:38 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 05:59 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 11, 2024 | OT | 00:42 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 11, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |