Alexander Wennberg vs Noah Cates
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Wennberg holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.3% vs Cates 43.2% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Wennberg leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Wennberg 66.1%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 52.4%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 53.8%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Wennberg
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
11
(23 meetings)
12
11
Wennberg
Cates
Last 10: Wennberg 4-6 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
6
3
Wennberg
Cates
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
3
4
Wennberg
Cates
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
3
4
Wennberg
Cates
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (9,278)
44.1% (2,742)
+2.6%
Power Play
49.4% (1,419)
43.0% (242)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (1,132)
34.9% (373)
+4.0%
On power play, Wennberg has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Wennberg is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,843).
Wennberg shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,284).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Cates
Home
47.6% (5,983)
43.8% (1,663)
Away
44.9% (5,846)
42.1% (1,694)
By Period
Wennberg
Cates
P1
46.1%
44.5%
P2
46.2%
43.5%
P3
46.6%
41.2%
OT
45.0%
29.4%
Final 5 min
45.2%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.3%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 02:52 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 16:38 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 14:38 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 05:59 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 11, 2024 | OT | 00:42 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 11, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 11:26 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |