Alexander Wennberg vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 61.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 58.2%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Wennberg 3-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
2
1
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (879)
51.0% (408)
-3.1%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
0.0% (6)
+54.0%
Penalty Kill
34.6% (185)
35.9% (78)
-1.3%
On power play, Wennberg has a +54.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Wennberg is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (816).
Wennberg shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.6% (629)
50.8% (258)
Away
44.0% (559)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.3%
51.6%
P2
48.7%
45.2%
P3
42.6%
47.6%
OT
38.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:19 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 06:28 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |