Alexander Wennberg vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wennberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 56.6%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 72.4%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 61.2%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (778)
47.6% (231)
-1.8%
Power Play
52.7% (239)
83.3% (12)
-30.6%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (169)
33.3% (21)
+4.0%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Wennberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Wennberg shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
47.3% (607)
51.2% (164)
Away
44.6% (579)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
44.5%
50.0%
P2
46.2%
46.2%
P3
47.4%
49.5%
OT
36.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |