Alexander Wennberg vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 47.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 59.4%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 50.9%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.0%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (777)
50.3% (479)
-2.4%
Power Play
51.0% (202)
50.0% (28)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (90)
30.0% (50)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Wennberg has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Wennberg is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (786).
Wennberg shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
47.2% (489)
48.9% (270)
Away
47.8% (580)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.1%
48.7%
P2
48.1%
50.0%
P3
47.5%
47.3%
OT
45.5%
36.4%
Final 5 min
48.2%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
47.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 15:15 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |