Alexis Lafrenière vs Brandon Saad
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brandon Saad holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Lafrenière wins 29.2% vs left-shot opponents — Saad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 44.2% vs Saad 45.3% (-4.5%)
Offensive zone
Lafrenière 55.0%
Defensive zone
Saad 57.5%
Neutral zone
Saad 50.3%
Result
Brandon Saad favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Lafrenière
Saad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Saad
Edge
Even Strength
25.0% (28)
32.0% (25)
-7.0%
On even strength, Saad has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Saad shoots left. Lafrenière is 29.2% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Lafrenière shoots left. Saad is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Saad
Home
0.0% (13)
37.5% (16)
Away
43.8% (16)
16.7% (12)
By Period
Lafrenière
Saad
P1
33.3%
43.8%
P2
0.0%
10.0%
P3
20.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
0.0%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
24.0%▼
29.5%
24.1%
Saad
28.0%▼
37.5%
28.6%