Alexis Lafrenière vs Brandon Saad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brandon Saad holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Lafrenière wins 34.0% vs left-shot opponents — Saad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 36.4% vs Saad 42.8% (-10.1%)
Offensive zone
Lafrenière 53.8%
Defensive zone
Saad 71.6%
Neutral zone
Lafrenière 50.1%
Result
Brandon Saad favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Lafrenière
Saad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Saad
Edge
Even Strength
31.8% (264)
40.6% (532)
-8.8%
Power Play
32.1% (28)
49.6% (113)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
38.2% (68)
-38.2%
On penalty kill, Saad has a +38.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Saad shoots left. Lafrenière is 34.0% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Lafrenière shoots left. Saad is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (435).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Saad
Home
32.3% (130)
42.5% (367)
Away
31.3% (163)
41.0% (346)
By Period
Lafrenière
Saad
P1
27.9%
41.7%
P2
34.3%
41.2%
P3
33.3%
43.1%
Final 5 min
29.8%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
22.0%▼
29.0%
31.7%
Saad
28.0%▼
38.0%
41.8%