Alexis Lafrenière vs Brandon Saad
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brandon Saad holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall. Lafrenière wins 23.9% vs left-shot opponents — Saad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 40.4% vs Saad 48.4% (-17.1%)
Offensive zone
Lafrenière 67.6%
Defensive zone
Saad 68.6%
Neutral zone
Lafrenière 52.3%
Result
Alexis Lafrenière favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Lafrenière
Saad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Saad
Edge
Even Strength
24.6% (65)
47.6% (21)
-23.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
33.3% (3)
+66.7%
On power play, Lafrenière has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Saad shoots left. Lafrenière is 23.9% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Lafrenière shoots left. Saad is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Saad
Home
25.0% (24)
45.0% (20)
Away
26.2% (42)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Lafrenière
Saad
P1
16.1%
41.7%
P2
30.4%
55.6%
P3
41.7%
28.6%
Final 5 min
25.0%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
24.0%▼
29.5%
25.8%
Saad
28.0%▼
37.5%
42.9%