Alexis Lafrenière vs Brandon Saad
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brandon Saad holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Lafrenière wins 29.6% vs left-shot opponents — Saad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 43.6% vs Saad 45.0% (-4.8%)
Offensive zone
Lafrenière 51.5%
Defensive zone
Saad 53.6%
Neutral zone
Lafrenière 50.1%
Result
Brandon Saad favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Lafrenière
Saad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Saad
Edge
Even Strength
25.0% (32)
32.1% (28)
-7.1%
On even strength, Saad has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Saad shoots left. Lafrenière is 29.6% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Lafrenière shoots left. Saad is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Saad
Home
6.7% (15)
37.5% (16)
Away
38.9% (18)
20.0% (15)
By Period
Lafrenière
Saad
P1
30.0%
41.2%
P2
0.0%
16.7%
P3
28.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
0.0%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
22.0%▼
29.0%
24.2%
Saad
28.0%▼
38.0%
29.0%