Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.0% vs 54.4%). Lee wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lee 51.3% vs Larkin 54.1% (-0.4%)
Offensive zone
Lee 59.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 67.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 53.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Lee
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lee
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (46)
53.6% (886)
+0.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
59.3% (317)
-9.3%
On power play, Larkin has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Lee is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Lee shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Home / Away
Lee
Larkin
Home
51.7% (29)
56.6% (700)
Away
57.1% (21)
52.1% (655)
By Period
Lee
Larkin
P1
42.1%
55.4%
P2
55.0%
54.7%
P3
72.7%
52.7%
Final 5 min
62.5%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lee
54.0%▲
51.0%
54.0%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%