Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 52.6%). Lee wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lee 51.9% vs Larkin 52.4% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lee 74.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 80.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 55.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Lee
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lee
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lee
1
0
Lee
Larkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Lee
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lee
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (71)
51.7% (878)
+3.2%
Power Play
50.0% (44)
58.5% (246)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
48.2% (166)
+51.8%
On penalty kill, Lee has a +51.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Lee is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (65).
Lee shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Lee
Larkin
Home
56.9% (51)
52.4% (647)
Away
50.8% (65)
52.7% (643)
By Period
Lee
Larkin
P1
60.0%
52.2%
P2
48.1%
53.1%
P3
55.6%
51.7%
Final 5 min
71.4%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lee
54.0%▲
51.0%
53.4%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Anders Lee |