Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Lee wins 40.7% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lee 47.9% vs Larkin 55.0% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 52.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 81.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 69.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Lee
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lee
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lee
1
0
Lee
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lee
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (39)
55.9% (943)
-14.9%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
57.4% (244)
+2.6%
On even strength, Larkin has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Lee is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Lee shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Home / Away
Lee
Larkin
Home
51.7% (29)
56.0% (654)
Away
26.7% (15)
54.8% (639)
By Period
Lee
Larkin
P1
35.3%
54.4%
P2
55.6%
55.9%
P3
33.3%
55.2%
Final 5 min
66.7%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lee
54.0%▲
51.0%
43.2%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Anders Lee |