Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lee wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lee 49.1% vs Evans 49.8% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lee 87.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 82.1%
Neutral zone
Evans 50.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Lee
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lee
Evans
Last 5: Lee 1-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lee
1
0
Lee
Evans
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
4
Lee
Evans
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lee
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (101)
51.3% (739)
-5.8%
Power Play
57.6% (33)
53.3% (15)
+4.3%
On even strength, Evans has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Lee is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Lee shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Home / Away
Lee
Evans
Home
49.2% (59)
52.1% (503)
Away
48.0% (75)
47.0% (423)
By Period
Lee
Evans
P1
40.0%
50.5%
P2
56.9%
47.7%
P3
50.0%
51.3%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lee
54.0%▲
51.0%
48.5%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 02:51 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 02:44 | Offensive | Anders Lee |