Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Lee wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lee 48.3% vs Evans 52.2% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lee 91.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 87.6%
Neutral zone
Lee 65.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Lee
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lee
Evans
Last 7: Lee 2-5 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lee
2
0
Lee
Evans
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
5
Lee
Evans
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lee
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (638)
53.8% (3,695)
-6.9%
Power Play
50.8% (256)
60.0% (70)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
47.1% (1,222)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, Lee has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Lee is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Lee shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Home / Away
Lee
Evans
Home
50.5% (430)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
46.0% (472)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Lee
Evans
P1
46.1%
54.0%
P2
48.6%
50.9%
P3
49.6%
52.0%
OT
55.6%
46.5%
Final 5 min
47.4%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lee
54.0%▲
51.0%
48.1%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 02:51 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 02:44 | Offensive | Anders Lee |