Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lee 51.9% vs Evans 55.4% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lee 91.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 84.1%
Neutral zone
Lee 56.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 84.1%
15.9%
84.1%
Lee
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lee
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Lee
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lee
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (71)
56.2% (477)
-1.3%
Power Play
50.0% (44)
70.0% (10)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
55.4% (204)
+44.6%
On penalty kill, Lee has a +44.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Lee is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (51).
Lee shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Lee
Evans
Home
56.9% (51)
55.3% (374)
Away
50.8% (65)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Lee
Evans
P1
60.0%
58.5%
P2
48.1%
55.7%
P3
55.6%
53.9%
Final 5 min
71.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lee
54.0%▲
51.0%
53.4%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Jake Evans |