Andrew Cogliano vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Cogliano wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 41.2% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-15.2%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 19-9 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Cogliano 92.6%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 93.3%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 96.3%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 93.7%
93.7%
6.3%
Cogliano
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
19
(28 meetings)
9
19
Cogliano
O'Reilly
Last 10: Cogliano 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
10
Cogliano
O'Reilly
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
4
Cogliano
O'Reilly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
5
Cogliano
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,486)
56.2% (15,260)
-14.5%
Power Play
42.0% (88)
58.8% (3,445)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (502)
51.4% (2,811)
-12.6%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Cogliano is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,400).
Cogliano shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Cogliano
O'Reilly
Home
43.4% (1,069)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
38.1% (1,034)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Cogliano
O'Reilly
P1
41.2%
55.6%
P2
37.7%
57.0%
P3
43.6%
55.1%
OT
41.5%
62.2%
Final 5 min
38.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
40.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 13:42 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 15, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 13, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 04:17 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 02:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 10, 2011 | OT | 03:11 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 3 | 11:41 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 3 | 05:03 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |