Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +18.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 47.9% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-18.7%)
Offensive zone
Cogliano 51.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 74.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 53.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Cogliano
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (16)
56.6% (1,064)
-19.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
60.4% (260)
+39.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
54.0% (261)
-29.0%
On power play, Cogliano has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Cogliano is 62.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Cogliano shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Cogliano
O'Reilly
Home
50.0% (10)
54.9% (801)
Away
27.3% (11)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Cogliano
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
58.0%
P2
36.4%
56.7%
P3
0.0%
55.4%
Final 5 min
42.9%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
38.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%