Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 48.8% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cogliano 56.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 50.6%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 55.6%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Cogliano
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cogliano
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Cogliano
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (41)
56.1% (690)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
45.9% (109)
+2.4%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Cogliano is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Cogliano shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Cogliano
O'Reilly
Home
50.0% (34)
58.3% (408)
Away
44.4% (36)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Cogliano
O'Reilly
P1
48.0%
57.7%
P2
51.7%
54.8%
P3
37.5%
55.2%
Final 5 min
52.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
47.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |