Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.8% vs Nelson 49.6% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Copp
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Copp
Nelson
Last 6: Copp 1-5 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Nelson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
0
3
Copp
Nelson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
0
1
Copp
Nelson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (554)
50.0% (694)
+4.7%
Power Play
59.5% (42)
56.3% (112)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (46)
42.0% (143)
+3.7%
On even strength, Copp has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Copp is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Copp shoots left. Nelson is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Copp
Nelson
Home
53.8% (331)
50.4% (472)
Away
55.0% (311)
48.6% (477)
By Period
Copp
Nelson
P1
55.2%
47.2%
P2
55.2%
53.4%
P3
53.1%
47.8%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.4%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
58.0%▲
54.5%
54.4%
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 14:01 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 10:03 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 08:15 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |