Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Copp wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Nelson 45.8% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 50.8%
Defensive zone
Copp 85.5%
Neutral zone
Copp 70.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Copp
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Copp
Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Nelson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
46.1% (735)
+8.0%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
34.5% (29)
+43.0%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
30.4% (23)
+11.8%
On power play, Copp has a +43.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Copp is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Copp shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Copp
Nelson
Home
51.9% (511)
48.7% (419)
Away
55.3% (490)
41.3% (368)
By Period
Copp
Nelson
P1
54.1%
44.6%
P2
54.2%
47.3%
P3
52.5%
43.0%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |