Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Evans 51.7% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 64.5%
Defensive zone
Copp 58.1%
Neutral zone
Copp 60.7%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Copp
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Copp
Evans
Last 6: Copp 2-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Evans
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
4
Copp
Evans
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
54.5% (483)
-4.2%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
58.3% (12)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
43.9% (155)
+1.6%
On even strength, Evans has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Copp is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Copp shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Copp
Evans
Home
51.3% (667)
49.4% (336)
Away
48.3% (632)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Copp
Evans
P1
50.2%
55.8%
P2
51.8%
51.7%
P3
48.0%
48.2%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:27 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 8, 2022 | OT | 00:35 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Jake Evans |