Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Copp wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Evans 55.4% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 83.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 63.0%
Neutral zone
Copp 57.3%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Copp
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Copp
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Copp
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (693)
56.2% (477)
-1.9%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
70.0% (10)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (57)
55.4% (204)
-9.8%
On power play, Evans has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Copp is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Copp shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Copp
Evans
Home
54.4% (408)
55.3% (374)
Away
53.4% (410)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Copp
Evans
P1
53.3%
58.5%
P2
54.1%
55.7%
P3
54.9%
53.9%
OT
20.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:19 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 10:27 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |