Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.2%). Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Copp wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Evans 52.2% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 22-18 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 75.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 63.8%
Neutral zone
Copp 51.8%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Copp
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
22
(40 meetings)
18
22
Copp
Evans
Last 10: Copp 6-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
11
5
Copp
Evans
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
11
Copp
Evans
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
5
6
Copp
Evans
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
53.8% (3,695)
-1.4%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
60.0% (70)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
47.1% (1,222)
-1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Copp is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,468).
Copp shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Home / Away
Copp
Evans
Home
52.7% (3,528)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Copp
Evans
P1
53.0%
54.0%
P2
51.4%
50.9%
P3
51.4%
52.0%
OT
39.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:19 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 10:27 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 05:29 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 02:55 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:44 | Neutral | Jake Evans |