Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Copp wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.8% vs Carter 56.4% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 86.3%
Defensive zone
Copp 79.8%
Neutral zone
Copp 80.0%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Copp
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Copp
Carter
Last 10: Copp 4-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
4
Copp
Carter
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
6
Copp
Carter
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Copp
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (466)
57.9% (885)
-4.3%
Power Play
58.8% (119)
61.7% (133)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (124)
45.4% (119)
+0.6%
On even strength, Carter has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Copp is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Copp shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Copp
Carter
Home
54.6% (346)
58.2% (543)
Away
51.8% (363)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Copp
Carter
P1
55.3%
57.5%
P2
50.0%
57.1%
P3
55.1%
55.8%
OT
33.3%
68.2%
Final 5 min
48.2%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 06:37 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 23, 2022 | OT | 01:19 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 3 | 16:06 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 2 | 07:03 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |