Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Carter 58.5% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 74.0%
Defensive zone
Copp 68.5%
Neutral zone
Copp 71.0%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Copp
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Copp
Carter
Last 6: Copp 2-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
3
Copp
Carter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Copp
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
59.7% (727)
-9.4%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
68.1% (72)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
53.2% (139)
-7.7%
On power play, Carter has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Copp is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Copp shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Copp
Carter
Home
51.3% (667)
58.7% (455)
Away
48.3% (632)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Copp
Carter
P1
50.2%
61.3%
P2
51.8%
57.1%
P3
48.0%
59.8%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.9%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 28, 2022 | OT | 01:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |