Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 22 meetings). Copp wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Carter 53.2% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 24-18 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 60.6%
Defensive zone
Copp 66.2%
Neutral zone
Copp 64.0%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Copp
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
24
(42 meetings)
18
24
Copp
Carter
Last 10: Copp 4-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
8
14
Copp
Carter
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
6
7
Copp
Carter
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
4
3
Copp
Carter
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
53.3% (8,728)
-0.9%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
57.3% (1,554)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
46.3% (1,087)
-1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Copp is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,468).
Copp shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Copp
Carter
Home
52.7% (3,528)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Copp
Carter
P1
53.0%
53.6%
P2
51.4%
52.8%
P3
51.4%
53.1%
OT
39.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 28, 2022 | OT | 01:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 06:37 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 23, 2022 | OT | 01:19 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 3 | 16:06 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 2 | 07:03 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |