Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Staal 54.6% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 60.4%
Defensive zone
Copp 50.2%
Neutral zone
Copp 58.2%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Copp
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Copp
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Copp
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Copp
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (693)
56.1% (955)
-1.8%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
66.9% (142)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (57)
43.0% (242)
+2.6%
On power play, Staal has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Copp is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Copp shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Copp
Staal
Home
54.4% (408)
55.4% (663)
Away
53.4% (410)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Copp
Staal
P1
53.3%
55.1%
P2
54.1%
54.7%
P3
54.9%
53.9%
OT
20.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:13 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 07:56 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |