Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.8% vs Staal 55.1% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 58.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.2%
Neutral zone
Copp 53.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Copp
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Copp
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Copp
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Copp
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (554)
57.2% (740)
-2.5%
Power Play
59.5% (42)
67.0% (88)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (46)
43.9% (187)
+1.8%
On power play, Staal has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Copp is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Copp shoots left. Staal is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Copp
Staal
Home
53.8% (331)
55.4% (518)
Away
55.0% (311)
55.7% (497)
By Period
Copp
Staal
P1
55.2%
53.6%
P2
55.2%
56.6%
P3
53.1%
55.7%
OT
0.0%
65.2%
Final 5 min
61.4%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
58.0%▲
54.5%
54.4%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 07:56 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |