Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 27 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Staal 55.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 29-23 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 68.1%
Defensive zone
Copp 66.7%
Neutral zone
Copp 68.6%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Copp
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
29
(52 meetings)
23
29
Copp
Staal
Last 10: Copp 2-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
6
2
Copp
Staal
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
7
10
Copp
Staal
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
10
17
Copp
Staal
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
55.9% (14,620)
-3.5%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
62.7% (1,745)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
48.0% (2,896)
-2.7%
On power play, Staal has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Copp is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Copp shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Copp
Staal
Home
52.7% (3,528)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Copp
Staal
P1
53.0%
55.2%
P2
51.4%
55.9%
P3
51.4%
54.9%
OT
39.0%
56.2%
Final 5 min
51.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:13 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 07:56 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 02:49 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:28 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:03 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 09:10 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:08 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 13:57 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:14 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |