Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Staal 57.6% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 67.8%
Defensive zone
Copp 67.1%
Neutral zone
Copp 67.3%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Copp
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Copp
Staal
Last 5: Copp 1-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Copp
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Copp
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
58.9% (1,096)
-4.8%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
68.4% (57)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
51.8% (222)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Copp is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Copp shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Copp
Staal
Home
51.9% (511)
57.0% (646)
Away
55.3% (490)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Copp
Staal
P1
54.1%
55.9%
P2
54.2%
55.4%
P3
52.5%
62.0%
OT
0.0%
70.4%
Final 5 min
53.4%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 02:49 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |