Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Eller 53.3% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 60.4%
Defensive zone
Copp 50.6%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.3%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Copp
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Copp
Eller
Last 10: Copp 6-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
4
0
Copp
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Copp
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
3
Copp
Eller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
53.8% (865)
-3.5%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
57.1% (21)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
52.6% (137)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Copp is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Copp shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Copp
Eller
Home
51.3% (667)
56.4% (486)
Away
48.3% (632)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Copp
Eller
P1
50.2%
55.1%
P2
51.8%
55.3%
P3
48.0%
51.7%
OT
33.3%
27.3%
Final 5 min
46.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 05:46 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 03:36 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 19, 2022 | OT | 01:25 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 07:30 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 17:04 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 06:34 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 06:29 | Neutral | Lars Eller |