Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 50.6% vs Eller 51.9% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 56.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 57.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 64.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Copp
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Copp
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Copp
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (559)
52.8% (650)
-1.6%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
69.2% (13)
-23.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
45.5% (88)
+2.1%
On power play, Eller has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Copp is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Copp shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Copp
Eller
Home
52.0% (348)
52.6% (340)
Away
49.1% (279)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Copp
Eller
P1
48.4%
52.4%
P2
50.2%
54.1%
P3
53.4%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
50.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 12:04 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 05:06 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 13:56 | Defensive | Lars Eller |