Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Eller 55.7% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 56.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 68.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 57.6%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Copp
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Copp
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (693)
56.5% (434)
-2.2%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
77.8% (9)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (57)
56.5% (46)
-10.9%
On power play, Eller has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Copp is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Copp shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Copp
Eller
Home
54.4% (408)
53.1% (211)
Away
53.4% (410)
59.7% (278)
By Period
Copp
Eller
P1
53.3%
55.4%
P2
54.1%
58.1%
P3
54.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
60.8%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 02:10 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |