Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.6% vs Paul 51.0% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 51.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 52.9%
Neutral zone
Paul 54.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Copp
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Copp
Paul
Last 6: Copp 2-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Copp
Paul
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Copp
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (455)
53.5% (312)
+1.4%
Power Play
49.1% (53)
53.8% (26)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (77)
29.4% (34)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Copp is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Copp shoots left. Paul is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Copp
Paul
Home
53.4% (309)
45.8% (153)
Away
52.5% (276)
55.0% (220)
By Period
Copp
Paul
P1
55.6%
55.9%
P2
51.6%
48.9%
P3
51.6%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 07:13 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 02:58 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Nick Paul |