Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.0%). Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 50.6% vs Paul 50.0% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 59.5%
Defensive zone
Copp 51.8%
Neutral zone
Copp 52.1%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Copp
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Copp
Paul
Last 10: Copp 4-6 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
5
Copp
Paul
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Copp
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (559)
48.8% (666)
+2.4%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
53.8% (65)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
60.0% (55)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Copp is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Copp shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Copp
Paul
Home
52.0% (348)
49.7% (348)
Away
49.1% (279)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Copp
Paul
P1
48.4%
51.0%
P2
50.2%
47.4%
P3
53.4%
51.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
50.7%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:29 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Nick Paul |