Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Paul 53.4% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 56.2%
Defensive zone
Copp 68.6%
Neutral zone
Copp 55.5%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Copp
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Copp
Paul
Last 10: Copp 5-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Copp
Paul
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
1
Copp
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
4
Copp
Paul
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
53.8% (753)
-3.5%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
58.9% (90)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
47.4% (78)
-1.9%
On power play, Paul has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Copp is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Copp shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Copp
Paul
Home
51.3% (667)
54.2% (450)
Away
48.3% (632)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Copp
Paul
P1
50.2%
58.2%
P2
51.8%
50.6%
P3
48.0%
52.9%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 05:36 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 15:17 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 03:11 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 16:13 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 19:53 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 13:07 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | Nick Paul |