Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 54.3%). Look for Copp on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Paul 53.9% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 67.2%
Defensive zone
Copp 68.8%
Neutral zone
Copp 52.5%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Copp
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Copp
Paul
Last 10: Copp 5-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
1
Copp
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
3
Copp
Paul
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
53.1% (710)
+1.0%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
57.3% (199)
+20.2%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
58.0% (69)
-15.8%
On power play, Copp has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Copp is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Copp shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Copp
Paul
Home
51.9% (511)
56.0% (466)
Away
55.3% (490)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Copp
Paul
P1
54.1%
57.2%
P2
54.2%
54.9%
P3
52.5%
51.5%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 03:40 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 19:07 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 16:34 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 08:51 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:29 | Neutral | Nick Paul |