Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 52.1%). Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.1% vs Paul 51.7% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 72.3%
Defensive zone
Paul 77.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 51.6%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Copp
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Copp
Paul
Last 6: Copp 3-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
0
Copp
Paul
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
3
Copp
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (152)
56.2% (274)
-6.9%
Power Play
64.9% (57)
52.9% (17)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
43.4% (129)
+4.4%
On power play, Copp has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Copp is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Copp shoots left. Paul is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Copp
Paul
Home
53.5% (114)
52.3% (235)
Away
52.5% (118)
51.9% (185)
By Period
Copp
Paul
P1
53.2%
53.2%
P2
52.5%
53.8%
P3
54.3%
49.3%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
51.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 07:57 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |