Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Copp wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.8% vs Stastny 55.4% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 62.0%
Defensive zone
Copp 63.3%
Neutral zone
Copp 59.0%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Copp
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Copp
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Copp
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Copp
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (466)
59.2% (370)
-5.6%
Power Play
58.8% (119)
40.9% (44)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (124)
51.7% (58)
-5.7%
On power play, Copp has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Copp is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Copp shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Copp
Stastny
Home
54.6% (346)
57.7% (215)
Away
51.8% (363)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Copp
Stastny
P1
55.3%
57.7%
P2
50.0%
54.2%
P3
55.1%
57.7%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 12:45 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |