Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Stastny 56.3% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 84.2%
Defensive zone
Copp 65.1%
Neutral zone
Stastny 58.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Copp
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Copp
Stastny
Last 7: Copp 4-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Copp
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
57.5% (412)
-7.2%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
60.0% (65)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
44.4% (9)
+1.1%
On even strength, Stastny has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Copp is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Copp shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Copp
Stastny
Home
51.3% (667)
58.3% (276)
Away
48.3% (632)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Copp
Stastny
P1
50.2%
63.7%
P2
51.8%
57.3%
P3
48.0%
50.4%
Final 5 min
46.9%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 19:32 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 19:34 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |