Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Stastny 55.1% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 24-14 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 71.9%
Defensive zone
Copp 82.5%
Neutral zone
Copp 74.3%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Copp
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
24
(38 meetings)
14
24
Copp
Stastny
Last 10: Copp 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
11
Copp
Stastny
15 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Copp
Stastny
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
7
Copp
Stastny
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
54.6% (10,616)
-2.2%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
59.1% (1,994)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
52.9% (1,119)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Copp is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Copp shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Copp
Stastny
Home
52.7% (3,528)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Copp
Stastny
P1
53.0%
56.3%
P2
51.4%
55.4%
P3
51.4%
53.5%
OT
39.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
51.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 19:32 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 19:34 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 12:45 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 13:06 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 12:58 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 10:10 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 14:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 02:20 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 02:10 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 18:10 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 11:52 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |