Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Lorentz 48.2% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 57.1%
Defensive zone
Copp 60.3%
Neutral zone
Copp 54.5%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Copp
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Copp
Lorentz
Last 5: Copp 5-0 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Lorentz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Lorentz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
48.3% (497)
+2.0%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
63.6% (11)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
38.5% (39)
+7.0%
On power play, Lorentz has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Copp is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Copp shoots left. Lorentz is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Copp
Lorentz
Home
51.3% (667)
50.4% (238)
Away
48.3% (632)
46.0% (309)
By Period
Copp
Lorentz
P1
50.2%
49.1%
P2
51.8%
48.0%
P3
48.0%
47.2%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 01:49 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:27 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:41 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |