Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Lorentz 48.6% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 63.3%
Defensive zone
Copp 71.7%
Neutral zone
Copp 64.7%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Copp
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Copp
Lorentz
Last 9: Copp 6-3 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
2
3
Copp
Lorentz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
0
Copp
Lorentz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
48.9% (1,118)
+3.5%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
50.0% (26)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
41.9% (86)
+3.4%
On power play, Copp has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Copp is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Copp shoots left. Lorentz is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Copp
Lorentz
Home
52.7% (3,528)
50.8% (606)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
46.2% (624)
By Period
Copp
Lorentz
P1
53.0%
53.0%
P2
51.4%
46.8%
P3
51.4%
46.1%
OT
39.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 01:49 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:27 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:41 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |