Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lorentz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Lorentz 49.4% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 71.8%
Defensive zone
Copp 54.6%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 55.5%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Copp
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Copp
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
3
Copp
Lorentz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
48.9% (135)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
50.0% (4)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Copp is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Copp shoots left. Lorentz is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Copp
Lorentz
Home
51.9% (511)
50.7% (75)
Away
55.3% (490)
46.9% (64)
By Period
Copp
Lorentz
P1
54.1%
60.0%
P2
54.2%
46.3%
P3
52.5%
44.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |