Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 52.5%). Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Copp wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.8% vs Hertl 52.3% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 61.3%
Defensive zone
Copp 54.1%
Neutral zone
Copp 53.1%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Copp
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Copp
Hertl
Last 8: Copp 3-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
3
Copp
Hertl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Copp
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (466)
51.6% (1,084)
+2.0%
Power Play
58.8% (119)
61.0% (246)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (124)
44.1% (136)
+1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Copp is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Copp shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Copp
Hertl
Home
54.6% (346)
55.2% (696)
Away
51.8% (363)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Copp
Hertl
P1
55.3%
55.4%
P2
50.0%
54.8%
P3
55.1%
48.9%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 30, 2021 | OT | 00:14 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 10:23 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |