Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Hertl 54.5% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 59.5%
Defensive zone
Copp 89.8%
Neutral zone
Copp 73.2%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Copp
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Copp
Hertl
Last 6: Copp 1-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Copp
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Copp
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Copp
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
54.1% (1,117)
-3.8%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
59.8% (296)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
34.4% (32)
+11.1%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Copp is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Copp shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Copp
Hertl
Home
51.3% (667)
54.3% (709)
Away
48.3% (632)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Copp
Hertl
P1
50.2%
51.6%
P2
51.8%
53.6%
P3
48.0%
58.6%
OT
33.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
46.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |