Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Copp wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Seguin 53.6% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 18-10 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 57.9%
Defensive zone
Copp 57.6%
Neutral zone
Copp 57.8%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Copp
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
18
(28 meetings)
10
18
Copp
Seguin
Last 10: Copp 3-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
3
6
Copp
Seguin
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
3
7
Copp
Seguin
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
4
5
Copp
Seguin
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
53.7% (8,071)
-1.3%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
55.9% (810)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
49.3% (762)
-4.0%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Copp is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,468).
Copp shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Copp
Seguin
Home
52.7% (3,528)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Copp
Seguin
P1
53.0%
52.8%
P2
51.4%
53.3%
P3
51.4%
54.7%
OT
39.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 08:16 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 17:27 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 1 | 14:31 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 00:32 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 15:16 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 1 | 06:00 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 11:34 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 16:21 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |