Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Seguin 54.2% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 64.7%
Defensive zone
Copp 78.0%
Neutral zone
Copp 66.4%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Copp
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Copp
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Copp
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Copp
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
55.0% (713)
-4.7%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
56.7% (104)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
47.2% (53)
-1.7%
On even strength, Seguin has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Copp is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Copp shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Copp
Seguin
Home
51.3% (667)
56.2% (443)
Away
48.3% (632)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Copp
Seguin
P1
50.2%
54.2%
P2
51.8%
52.9%
P3
48.0%
57.1%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 17:27 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |