Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Seguin 55.4% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 57.2%
Defensive zone
Copp 62.9%
Neutral zone
Seguin 55.7%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Copp
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Copp
Seguin
Last 5: Copp 3-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Copp
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
56.9% (478)
-2.8%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
57.4% (54)
+20.1%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
51.3% (76)
-9.1%
On power play, Copp has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Copp is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Copp shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Copp
Seguin
Home
51.9% (511)
57.4% (317)
Away
55.3% (490)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Copp
Seguin
P1
54.1%
50.3%
P2
54.2%
60.4%
P3
52.5%
58.0%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.4%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 08:16 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |