Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.8% vs Seguin 55.4% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 65.1%
Defensive zone
Copp 61.9%
Neutral zone
Copp 61.5%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Copp
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Copp
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Copp
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Copp
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (466)
56.5% (712)
-2.9%
Power Play
58.8% (119)
59.7% (67)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (124)
44.9% (49)
+1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Copp is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Copp shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Copp
Seguin
Home
54.6% (346)
58.5% (402)
Away
51.8% (363)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Copp
Seguin
P1
55.3%
58.4%
P2
50.0%
54.7%
P3
55.1%
54.1%
OT
33.3%
72.7%
Final 5 min
48.2%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2022 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 1 | 14:31 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 00:32 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |